What the experts KNOW

The notion of originality, innovation and the oft-used “paradigm-shift” challenges all of us.

None more-so than the “experts” within an industry. Not unlike those Generals and the last war… or those Teachers that have “seen it all before”

As we move in to the “Apple rumour season”, It seems appropriate to look back at some expert reviews and consider what value and meaning “expert analysis” and “market responses” have within the life-cycle of any innovation..  I know what Steve would have said……

The iPhone

“Apple will sell a few to its fans, but the iPhone won’t make a long-term mark on the industry.” – Matthew Lynn, Columnist at Bloomberg   [Ouch – Ed]

 

“This is not a great phone. It’s an interesting design.” – Rob Enderle, Analyst with the Enderle Group

 

“That virtual keyboard will be about as useful for tapping out emails and text messages as a rotary phone. Don’t be surprised if a sizable contingent of iPhone buyers express some remorse at ditching their BlackBerry when they spend an extra hour each day pumping out emails on the road.” – Seth Porges, CrunchGear

 

“I’m more convinced than ever that, after an initial frenzy of publicity and sales to early adopters, iPhone sales will be unspectacular.” – David Haskin, Computerworld
“Implementing a cellphone is absolutely more difficult than anything Apple’s done to date. Go out and buy an iPod and hold it at waist level and drop it. That’s the end of the iPod. I don’t think Apple’s going to be a big player in this at all.” – Edward Snyder, Analyst with Charter Equity Research
“There is no reason to have an 8GB iPod on the phone. Give us a 2GB capacity so we can put our favorite stuff on it and listen when we want, cut the price to $299 and you may have something.” – Todd Sullivan, Seeking Alpha

 

“[The iPhone] will have very little impact on the business community.” – Avi Greengart, Analyst with Current Analysis

 

“Sales for the phone will skyrocket initially. However, things will calm down, and the Apple phone will take its place on the shelves with the random video cameras, cell phones, wireless routers and other would-be hits.” – Michael Kanellos, Editor at CNET